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Red143
93031.6
590734.7
463544.2
Blue60
753117.8
318122.7
164028.7
87%Model gave it13%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11279406010012014016018014360

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4635
#14
44.23.1
41.844.8
Auto14.2
Teleop27.2
End2.8
red by 15.5
1640
#68
28.71.0
35.334.2
Auto10.9
Teleop15.8
End2.1
Second
5907
#30
34.73.1
28.932.0
Auto11.8
Teleop20.7
End2.2
red by 11.9
3181
#44
22.71.0
22.121.1
Auto7.3
Teleop11.9
End3.5
Third
930
#27
31.63.1
26.429.5
Auto9.7
Teleop21.7
End0.1
red by 13.8
7531
#49
17.81.0
18.117.0
Auto9.0
Teleop6.9
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
97%Melody oddsEarned74%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
29%Ensemble oddsMissed24%Ensemble oddsEarned