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Red65
252141.8
500215.8
415915.2
Blue85
19024.7
447638.6
253034.1
13%Model gave it87%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7510640601001201401606585

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.80.5
43.442.9
Auto13.9
Teleop24.8
End3.1
red by 3.2
4476
#22
38.60.5
37.136.6
Auto10.0
Teleop26.0
End2.6
Second
5002
#59
15.80.5
12.612.1
Auto6.8
Teleop6.1
End2.9
blue by 18.4
2530
#10
34.10.5
30.029.5
Auto12.2
Teleop20.0
End1.9
Third
4159
#56
15.20.5
16.015.5
Auto3.1
Teleop10.0
End2.1
blue by 9.4
190
#32
24.70.5
25.525.0
Auto8.3
Teleop13.6
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
68%Melody oddsMissed97%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
39%Ensemble oddsMissed43%Ensemble oddsEarned