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Red100
50329.1
515237.0
62435.3
Blue68
365422.9
766023.0
248145.8
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions101986070809011012013010068

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5152
#13
37.00.3
31.431.7
Auto11.9
Teleop22.3
End2.8
blue by 8.8
2481
#21
45.81.9
46.344.5
Auto12.3
Teleop30.5
End3.0
Second
624
#17
35.30.3
37.237.4
Auto10.3
Teleop22.1
End2.9
red by 12.3
7660
#39
23.01.9
20.618.8
Auto9.2
Teleop10.4
End3.4
Third
503
#12
29.10.3
22.622.8
Auto10.5
Teleop14.6
End4.1
red by 6.2
3654
#57
22.91.9
21.820.0
Auto10.1
Teleop12.0
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
87%Melody oddsEarned54%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
27%Ensemble oddsEarned55%Ensemble oddsMissed