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Red119
253943.5
12544.7
716628.3
Blue73
722631.9
69883.8
4525.4
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12255010015011973

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
125
#26
44.71.1
43.644.7
Auto14.9
Teleop23.0
End6.7
red by 12.8
7226
#16
31.91.0
27.128.1
Auto8.8
Teleop20.8
End2.4
Second
43.51.1
34.235.3
Auto12.4
Teleop24.6
End6.5
red by 18.1
45
#37
25.41.0
26.927.9
Auto9.3
Teleop13.1
End3.0
Third
7166
#41
28.31.1
24.825.9
Auto8.9
Teleop17.4
End1.9
red by 24.5
6988
#72
3.81.0
3.94.9
Auto2.3
Teleop2.0
End-0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
91%Melody oddsEarned48%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
89%Ensemble oddsEarned19%Ensemble oddsMissed