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Red110
212938.4
742631.2
702839.1
Blue67
247219.8
604524.0
784825.6
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1135920408010012014016011067

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7028
#20
39.11.0
33.534.5
Auto11.7
Teleop27.3
End0.1
red by 13.4
7848
#67
25.60.5
20.921.4
Auto10.1
Teleop13.6
End1.9
Second
2129
#23
38.41.0
32.633.6
Auto13.3
Teleop23.0
End2.1
red by 14.4
6045
#51
24.00.5
17.317.8
Auto8.6
Teleop13.1
End2.3
Third
7426
#36
31.21.0
29.430.3
Auto8.8
Teleop20.0
End2.5
red by 11.5
2472
#53
19.80.5
21.421.9
Auto4.9
Teleop11.5
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
90%Melody oddsEarned22%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
36%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed