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Red76
742130.9
978716.2
756714.1
Blue84
404335.3
395033.0
317919.4
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions57982040801201401601807684

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7421
#43
30.90.5
29.729.2
Auto10.7
Teleop17.6
End2.6
blue by 4.4
4043
#25
35.30.3
37.937.6
Auto12.1
Teleop19.5
End3.7
Second
9787
#45
16.20.5
13.513.1
Auto7.2
Teleop7.2
End1.8
blue by 16.9
33.00.3
26.726.4
Auto12.3
Teleop18.9
End1.8
Third
7567
#54
14.10.5
13.112.6
Auto6.7
Teleop6.6
End0.7
blue by 5.3
3179
#42
19.40.3
18.918.6
Auto6.0
Teleop11.1
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
36%Melody oddsMissed78%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsEarned16%Ensemble oddsMissed