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Red73
248533.2
34625.2
328421.3
Blue29
101415.8
409927.5
94166.6
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions915402040801001201407329

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2485
#18
33.21.0
29.928.9
Auto12.3
Teleop18.5
End2.4
red by 5.7
4099
#64
27.51.6
31.329.6
Auto9.0
Teleop17.4
End1.2
Second
346
#69
25.21.0
24.723.7
Auto10.4
Teleop9.9
End5.0
red by 9.4
1014
#63
15.81.6
13.411.7
Auto6.0
Teleop6.5
End3.3
Third
3284
#61
21.31.0
23.622.6
Auto6.7
Teleop14.5
End0.1
red by 14.7
9416
#74
6.61.6
8.77.1
Auto3.2
Teleop3.0
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
78%Melody oddsMissed20%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
48%Ensemble oddsEarned27%Ensemble oddsMissed