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Red90
463544.2
901625.5
213727.8
Blue90
415915.2
566729.2
590734.7
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10880501001509090

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4635
#14
44.2
Auto14.2
Teleop27.2
End2.8
red by 9.6
5907
#30
34.7
Auto11.8
Teleop20.7
End2.2
Second
2137
#31
27.8
Auto5.4
Teleop17.4
End5.0
blue by 1.4
5667
#35
29.2
Auto9.7
Teleop18.7
End0.8
Third
9016
#29
25.5
Auto11.5
Teleop10.5
End3.5
red by 10.3
4159
#56
15.2
Auto3.1
Teleop10.0
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
92%Melody oddsEarned91%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
75%Ensemble oddsEarned20%Ensemble oddsMissed