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Red107
93031.6
191224.9
50329.1
Blue122
436244.8
515237.0
253034.1
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7611950100150107122

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
930
#27
31.62.1
29.531.5
Auto9.7
Teleop21.7
End0.1
blue by 13.3
44.81.3
41.342.6
Auto11.8
Teleop27.1
End6.0
Second
503
#12
29.12.1
22.824.9
Auto10.5
Teleop14.6
End4.1
blue by 7.9
5152
#13
37.01.3
31.733.0
Auto11.9
Teleop22.3
End2.8
Third
1912
#55
24.92.1
21.523.6
Auto7.9
Teleop15.8
End1.2
blue by 9.2
2530
#10
34.11.3
29.530.8
Auto12.2
Teleop20.0
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
52%Melody oddsEarned97%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed35%Ensemble oddsEarned