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Red90
164028.7
69883.8
259041.4
Blue119
540930.8
214537.2
722631.9
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions81104406012014016090119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2590
#11
41.40.3
36.636.9
Auto14.8
Teleop21.7
End4.9
red by 4.3
2145
#15
37.21.4
32.033.3
Auto13.9
Teleop21.0
End2.2
Second
1640
#68
28.70.3
34.234.5
Auto10.9
Teleop15.8
End2.1
blue by 3.2
7226
#16
31.91.4
28.129.5
Auto8.8
Teleop20.8
End2.4
Third
6988
#72
3.80.3
4.95.2
Auto2.3
Teleop2.0
End-0.6
blue by 27.0
5409
#50
30.81.4
31.332.7
Auto5.7
Teleop16.3
End8.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
77%Melody oddsMissed94%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
52%Ensemble oddsEarned72%Ensemble oddsEarned