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Red99
860839.4
14428.3
702839.1
Blue113
598721.2
253943.5
719732.6
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11097608012014016099113

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.40.1
36.936.9
Auto14.8
Teleop19.2
End5.4
blue by 4.1
43.51.1
35.336.4
Auto12.4
Teleop24.6
End6.5
Second
7028
#20
39.10.1
34.534.6
Auto11.7
Teleop27.3
End0.1
red by 6.4
7197
#28
32.61.1
32.133.2
Auto12.2
Teleop18.8
End1.7
Third
144
#33
28.30.1
26.826.8
Auto10.1
Teleop15.8
End2.4
red by 7.1
5987
#48
21.21.1
22.023.1
Auto6.6
Teleop12.9
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
88%Melody oddsEarned84%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
61%Ensemble oddsMissed61%Ensemble oddsMissed