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Red121
447638.6
365422.9
667241.3
Blue95
978716.2
784825.6
12544.7
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10585406012014016012195

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.31.9
36.338.2
Auto11.2
Teleop27.7
End2.4
blue by 3.4
125
#26
44.71.1
44.745.8
Auto14.9
Teleop23.0
End6.7
Second
4476
#22
38.61.9
36.638.5
Auto10.0
Teleop26.0
End2.6
red by 13.0
7848
#67
25.61.1
21.422.4
Auto10.1
Teleop13.6
End1.9
Third
3654
#57
22.91.9
20.021.9
Auto10.1
Teleop12.0
End0.8
red by 6.7
9787
#45
16.21.1
13.114.1
Auto7.2
Teleop7.2
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
95%Melody oddsEarned57%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
23%Ensemble oddsMissed38%Ensemble oddsEarned