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Red82
742130.9
248145.8
500215.8
Blue81
409927.5
36525.8
241222.0
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions977902040601201401608281

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2481
#21
45.80.6
44.543.9
Auto12.3
Teleop30.5
End3.0
red by 18.3
4099
#64
27.50.5
29.630.1
Auto9.0
Teleop17.4
End1.2
Second
7421
#43
30.90.6
29.228.6
Auto10.7
Teleop17.6
End2.6
red by 5.1
365
#47
25.80.5
23.624.1
Auto7.0
Teleop15.5
End3.3
Third
5002
#59
15.80.6
12.111.5
Auto6.8
Teleop6.1
End2.9
blue by 6.2
2412
#58
22.00.5
20.521.0
Auto11.1
Teleop10.2
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
70%Melody oddsEarned57%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
33%Ensemble oddsMissed22%Ensemble oddsMissed