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Qual 72024 Curie Division
Red82
900820.6
212938.4
975237.9
Blue87
515237.0
162226.1
14428.3
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10199607080901101201308287

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2129
#23
38.40.7
35.1→34.3
Auto13.3
Teleop23.0
End2.1
red by 1.4
5152
#13
37.00.5
30.9→30.4
Auto11.9
Teleop22.3
End2.8
Second
9752
#5
37.90.7
32.1→31.3
Auto11.5
Teleop24.4
End2.1
red by 9.6
144
#33
28.30.5
32.5→32.0
Auto10.1
Teleop15.8
End2.4
Third
9008
#66
20.60.7
23.9→23.2
Auto7.6
Teleop12.1
End1.0
blue by 5.5
1622
#40
26.10.5
26.3→25.8
Auto9.2
Teleop14.4
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
96%Melody oddsEarned95%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed