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Red116
436244.8
742130.9
191224.9
Blue104
12544.7
719732.6
888216.7
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10510495100110115116104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.81.4
42.644.0
Auto11.8
Teleop27.1
End6.0
red by 0.2
125
#26
44.70.7
45.846.5
Auto14.9
Teleop23.0
End6.7
Second
7421
#43
30.91.4
28.630.0
Auto10.7
Teleop17.6
End2.6
blue by 1.8
7197
#28
32.60.7
33.233.9
Auto12.2
Teleop18.8
End1.7
Third
1912
#55
24.91.4
23.625.0
Auto7.9
Teleop15.8
End1.2
red by 8.2
8882
#65
16.70.7
15.115.7
Auto6.8
Teleop9.3
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
89%Melody oddsEarned76%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
27%Ensemble oddsEarned47%Ensemble oddsEarned