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Red129
213727.8
36525.8
248145.8
Blue119
851328.5
156130.5
212938.4
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1041038090100110120130129119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2481
#21
45.82.4
43.946.3
Auto12.3
Teleop30.5
End3.0
red by 7.4
2129
#23
38.41.0
35.336.4
Auto13.3
Teleop23.0
End2.1
Second
2137
#31
27.82.4
25.327.6
Auto5.4
Teleop17.4
End5.0
blue by 2.6
1561
#52
30.51.0
30.731.7
Auto10.1
Teleop20.0
End0.4
Third
365
#47
25.82.4
24.126.5
Auto7.0
Teleop15.5
End3.3
blue by 2.7
8513
#19
28.51.0
27.828.8
Auto11.2
Teleop11.2
End6.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
84%Melody oddsEarned86%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
76%Ensemble oddsEarned54%Ensemble oddsEarned