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Red102
395033.0
978716.2
252141.8
Blue91
127915.3
857523.9
515237.0
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9778406012014016010291

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.81.1
43.044.1
Auto13.9
Teleop24.8
End3.1
red by 4.8
5152
#13
37.00.6
33.033.6
Auto11.9
Teleop22.3
End2.8
Second
33.01.1
28.129.2
Auto12.3
Teleop18.9
End1.8
red by 9.1
8575
#46
23.90.6
20.721.3
Auto8.5
Teleop13.7
End1.7
Third
9787
#45
16.21.1
14.115.2
Auto7.2
Teleop7.2
End1.8
red by 0.9
1279
#73
15.30.6
18.719.3
Auto6.3
Teleop7.7
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
93%Melody oddsEarned62%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
27%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed