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Red134
253943.5
975237.9
253034.1
Blue82
404335.3
970920.2
742631.2
75%Model gave it25%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1169640608014016018013482

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.51.8
36.438.1
Auto12.4
Teleop24.6
End6.5
red by 8.2
4043
#25
35.30.8
38.537.7
Auto12.1
Teleop19.5
End3.7
Second
37.91.8
35.237.0
Auto11.5
Teleop24.4
End2.1
red by 6.7
7426
#36
31.20.8
30.529.7
Auto8.8
Teleop20.0
End2.5
Third
2530
#10
34.11.8
30.832.6
Auto12.2
Teleop20.0
End1.9
red by 13.9
9709
#38
20.20.8
20.119.3
Auto9.0
Teleop9.5
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
98%Melody oddsEarned75%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
72%Ensemble oddsEarned23%Ensemble oddsMissed