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Red81
463544.2
4525.4
317919.4
Blue123
248533.2
702839.1
220043.2
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions971195015020081123

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4635
#14
44.20.6
44.844.2
Auto14.2
Teleop27.2
End2.8
red by 1.1
43.21.2
40.441.6
Auto12.3
Teleop23.5
End7.4
Second
45
#37
25.40.6
28.027.4
Auto9.3
Teleop13.1
End3.0
blue by 13.6
7028
#20
39.11.2
34.635.8
Auto11.7
Teleop27.3
End0.1
Third
3179
#42
19.40.6
17.516.9
Auto6.0
Teleop11.1
End2.3
blue by 13.9
2485
#18
33.21.2
30.031.2
Auto12.3
Teleop18.5
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
85%Melody oddsEarned93%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
31%Ensemble oddsMissed76%Ensemble oddsEarned