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Red91
248145.8
719732.6
95647.1
Blue80
93031.6
259041.4
127915.3
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions959960801201409180

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2481
#21
45.80.7
46.345.6
Auto12.3
Teleop30.5
End3.0
red by 4.4
2590
#11
41.41.6
37.536.0
Auto14.8
Teleop21.7
End4.9
Second
7197
#28
32.60.7
33.933.2
Auto12.2
Teleop18.8
End1.7
red by 1.1
930
#27
31.61.6
32.030.4
Auto9.7
Teleop21.7
End0.1
Third
9564
#70
7.10.7
6.65.9
Auto1.2
Teleop5.1
End0.7
blue by 8.2
1279
#73
15.31.6
19.317.7
Auto6.3
Teleop7.7
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
84%Melody oddsEarned81%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
22%Ensemble oddsEarned34%Ensemble oddsMissed