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Red102
857523.9
404335.3
436244.8
Blue92
590734.7
248533.2
14428.3
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions116995015010292

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.80.5
44.043.5
Auto11.8
Teleop27.1
End6.0
red by 10.2
5907
#30
34.70.1
32.732.7
Auto11.8
Teleop20.7
End2.2
Second
4043
#25
35.30.5
37.737.1
Auto12.1
Teleop19.5
End3.7
red by 2.1
2485
#18
33.20.1
31.231.3
Auto12.3
Teleop18.5
End2.4
Third
8575
#46
23.90.5
21.320.8
Auto8.5
Teleop13.7
End1.7
blue by 4.4
144
#33
28.30.1
27.327.4
Auto10.1
Teleop15.8
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
95%Melody oddsEarned97%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
33%Ensemble oddsEarned39%Ensemble oddsMissed