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Red133
463544.2
667241.3
395033.0
Blue68
500215.8
101415.8
716628.3
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13543010015020025013368

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4635
#14
44.20.8
44.245.0
Auto14.2
Teleop27.2
End2.8
red by 16.0
7166
#41
28.31.2
25.726.9
Auto8.9
Teleop17.4
End1.9
Second
41.30.8
38.038.7
Auto11.2
Teleop27.7
End2.4
red by 25.5
1014
#63
15.81.2
13.214.5
Auto6.0
Teleop6.5
End3.3
Third
33.00.8
29.230.0
Auto12.3
Teleop18.9
End1.8
red by 17.3
5002
#59
15.81.2
10.611.8
Auto6.8
Teleop6.1
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
99%Melody oddsEarned8%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
18%Ensemble oddsEarned27%Ensemble oddsMissed