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Red111
191224.9
702839.1
34625.2
Blue66
756714.1
872732.4
413115.9
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions996205015011166

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7028
#20
39.10.7
35.836.4
Auto11.7
Teleop27.3
End0.1
red by 6.7
8727
#34
32.41.0
29.528.5
Auto14.3
Teleop15.5
End2.6
Second
346
#69
25.20.7
24.325.0
Auto10.4
Teleop9.9
End5.0
red by 9.3
4131
#71
15.91.0
18.817.8
Auto6.1
Teleop7.9
End2.0
Third
1912
#55
24.90.7
25.025.7
Auto7.9
Teleop15.8
End1.2
red by 10.8
7567
#54
14.11.0
12.511.6
Auto6.7
Teleop6.6
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
50%Melody oddsMissed21%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
38%Ensemble oddsMissed26%Ensemble oddsEarned