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Red68
598721.2
19024.7
566729.2
Blue45
540930.8
4525.4
94166.6
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions867402040601001201401606845

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5667
#35
29.20.9
28.727.8
Auto9.7
Teleop18.7
End0.8
blue by 1.5
5409
#50
30.82.0
32.930.9
Auto5.7
Teleop16.3
End8.7
Second
190
#32
24.70.9
24.323.4
Auto8.3
Teleop13.6
End2.8
blue by 0.8
45
#37
25.42.0
27.425.4
Auto9.3
Teleop13.1
End3.0
Third
5987
#48
21.20.9
23.522.6
Auto6.6
Teleop12.9
End1.8
red by 14.6
9416
#74
6.62.0
7.95.9
Auto3.2
Teleop3.0
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
80%Melody oddsMissed69%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
22%Ensemble oddsMissed63%Ensemble oddsMissed