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Red132
604524.0
384746.7
515237.0
Blue45
415915.2
206812.5
318122.7
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11847010015013245

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
46.72.3
45.447.7
Auto15.3
Teleop26.1
End5.3
red by 23.9
3181
#44
22.70.4
23.222.8
Auto7.3
Teleop11.9
End3.5
Second
5152
#13
37.02.3
33.635.8
Auto11.9
Teleop22.3
End2.8
red by 21.8
4159
#56
15.20.4
16.115.7
Auto3.1
Teleop10.0
End2.1
Third
6045
#51
24.02.3
19.121.4
Auto8.6
Teleop13.1
End2.3
red by 11.5
2068
#62
12.50.4
11.611.2
Auto3.3
Teleop6.9
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
92%Melody oddsEarned14%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
34%Ensemble oddsEarned12%Ensemble oddsEarned