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Red161
93031.6
253943.5
248145.8
Blue115
214537.2
860839.4
253034.1
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13412080100160180200220161115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2481
#21
45.80.5
45.445.9
Auto12.3
Teleop30.5
End3.0
red by 6.4
39.40.1
39.339.4
Auto14.8
Teleop19.2
End5.4
Second
43.50.5
43.043.6
Auto12.4
Teleop24.6
End6.5
red by 6.3
2145
#15
37.20.1
37.137.2
Auto13.9
Teleop21.0
End2.2
Third
930
#27
31.60.5
31.431.9
Auto9.7
Teleop21.7
End0.1
blue by 2.5
2530
#10
34.10.1
34.134.2
Auto12.2
Teleop20.0
End1.9