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Red111
384746.7
213727.8
220043.2
Blue87
395033.0
568742.1
872732.4
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions135118608010016018020011187

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
46.70.5
47.647.1
Auto15.3
Teleop26.1
End5.3
red by 4.6
5687
#24
42.10.5
42.542.1
Auto11.0
Teleop28.2
End2.8
Second
43.20.5
44.143.6
Auto12.3
Teleop23.5
End7.4
red by 10.2
33.00.5
33.533.0
Auto12.3
Teleop18.9
End1.8
Third
2137
#31
27.80.5
28.728.2
Auto5.4
Teleop17.4
End5.0
blue by 4.5
8727
#34
32.40.5
32.932.4
Auto14.3
Teleop15.5
End2.6