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Red121
252141.8
742130.9
463544.2
Blue138
248145.8
253943.5
93031.6
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions136134100120160180121138

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4635
#14
44.20.0
46.246.2
Auto14.2
Teleop27.2
End2.8
blue by 1.6
2481
#21
45.80.0
45.946.0
Auto12.3
Teleop30.5
End3.0
Second
41.80.0
43.843.8
Auto13.9
Teleop24.8
End3.1
blue by 1.7
43.50.0
43.643.6
Auto12.4
Teleop24.6
End6.5
Third
7421
#43
30.90.0
32.932.8
Auto10.7
Teleop17.6
End2.6
blue by 0.7
930
#27
31.60.0
31.931.9
Auto9.7
Teleop21.7
End0.1