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Red149
259041.4
702839.1
447638.6
Blue120
860839.4
214537.2
253034.1
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions127121100110130140150160149120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2590
#11
41.40.7
39.740.4
Auto14.8
Teleop21.7
End4.9
red by 2.0
39.40.1
39.339.4
Auto14.8
Teleop19.2
End5.4
Second
7028
#20
39.10.7
37.438.0
Auto11.7
Teleop27.3
End0.1
red by 1.9
2145
#15
37.20.1
37.137.2
Auto13.9
Teleop21.0
End2.2
Third
4476
#22
38.60.7
36.937.6
Auto10.0
Teleop26.0
End2.6
red by 4.5
2530
#10
34.10.1
34.034.1
Auto12.2
Teleop20.0
End1.9