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Red107
252141.8
742130.9
463544.2
Blue103
220043.2
213727.8
384746.7
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions136131100120160180107103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4635
#14
44.20.4
46.245.8
Auto14.2
Teleop27.2
End2.8
blue by 2.4
46.70.4
47.146.7
Auto15.3
Teleop26.1
End5.3
Second
41.80.4
43.843.4
Auto13.9
Teleop24.8
End3.1
blue by 1.4
43.20.4
43.643.2
Auto12.3
Teleop23.5
End7.4
Third
7421
#43
30.90.4
32.832.5
Auto10.7
Teleop17.6
End2.6
red by 3.0
2137
#31
27.80.4
28.227.8
Auto5.4
Teleop17.4
End5.0