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Red108
962418.1
331438.3
423732.2
Blue70
84026.5
750124.6
950118.3
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions98722040608012014016010870

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3314
#18
38.30.9
37.538.4
Auto14.0
Teleop19.3
End4.9
red by 11.8
840
#47
26.50.1
26.426.5
Auto9.6
Teleop15.3
End1.6
Second
4237
#23
32.20.9
30.731.6
Auto12.2
Teleop17.0
End3.0
red by 7.6
7501
#54
24.60.1
25.325.4
Auto11.5
Teleop11.6
End1.5
Third
9624
#37
18.10.9
17.518.4
Auto7.7
Teleop7.8
End2.7
blue by 0.2
9501
#50
18.30.1
16.316.4
Auto5.1
Teleop11.4
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
82%Melody oddsEarned75%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
62%Ensemble oddsEarned19%Ensemble oddsMissed