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Red128
91035.8
69440.3
205233.5
Blue106
13141.4
492027.1
286930.5
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11610650150200128106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
694
#14
40.31.6
37.839.4
Auto9.9
Teleop24.8
End5.5
blue by 1.2
131
#8
41.40.6
40.941.5
Auto9.3
Teleop25.1
End7.0
Second
910
#29
35.81.6
35.737.3
Auto11.9
Teleop20.3
End3.5
red by 5.2
2869
#19
30.50.6
29.129.7
Auto9.7
Teleop19.0
End1.8
Third
2052
#31
33.51.6
30.432.0
Auto11.2
Teleop18.7
End3.6
red by 6.4
4920
#69
27.10.6
27.227.8
Auto10.4
Teleop15.1
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
94%Melody oddsEarned85%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
44%Ensemble oddsEarned55%Ensemble oddsEarned