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Red101
948021.7
10342.0
32118.3
Blue98
887330.8
440325.8
5128.8
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions859305015010198

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
103
#25
42.01.5
40.742.3
Auto13.4
Teleop26.3
End2.3
red by 11.2
8873
#70
30.81.0
29.130.1
Auto9.7
Teleop18.1
End2.9
Second
9480
#53
21.71.5
20.722.3
Auto8.6
Teleop10.6
End2.4
blue by 7.1
51
#46
28.81.0
28.729.7
Auto10.6
Teleop15.6
End2.6
Third
321
#45
18.31.5
16.518.0
Auto8.2
Teleop9.8
End0.4
blue by 7.4
4403
#52
25.81.0
25.226.2
Auto7.0
Teleop16.3
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
72%Melody oddsEarned67%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
35%Ensemble oddsMissed44%Ensemble oddsMissed