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Red68
414612.3
198627.5
871711.3
Blue78
47355.6
81539.5
44942.0
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions546402040801001206878

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1986
#36
27.50.8
28.229.0
Auto7.1
Teleop18.2
End2.2
blue by 14.5
449
#21
42.00.4
40.840.4
Auto16.0
Teleop22.2
End3.8
Second
4146
#75
12.30.8
11.112.0
Auto3.1
Teleop7.7
End1.5
red by 2.8
8153
#41
9.50.4
10.39.9
Auto2.8
Teleop7.1
End-0.5
Third
8717
#67
11.30.8
11.111.9
Auto5.7
Teleop3.3
End2.3
red by 5.6
4735
#55
5.60.4
5.75.3
Auto1.7
Teleop3.4
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
24%Melody oddsMissed25%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed17%Ensemble oddsEarned