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Red147
177152.6
353842.5
171033.8
Blue52
833810.5
940510.9
58141.8
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15654010020025014752

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
52.61.2
53.754.9
Auto19.8
Teleop27.2
End5.6
red by 10.8
581
#11
41.80.6
40.740.1
Auto14.6
Teleop21.7
End5.4
Second
3538
#10
42.51.2
40.741.9
Auto13.0
Teleop22.4
End7.1
red by 31.6
9405
#72
10.90.6
10.710.1
Auto4.9
Teleop5.7
End0.3
Third
1710
#16
33.81.2
34.836.0
Auto12.7
Teleop17.7
End3.4
red by 23.3
8338
#58
10.50.6
9.79.1
Auto5.5
Teleop3.6
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
99%Melody oddsEarned31%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
96%Ensemble oddsEarned19%Ensemble oddsMissed