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Red111
482827.5
452243.0
36847.0
Blue75
157434.2
402839.0
170013.1
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions137885010015020011175

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
368
#13
47.00.5
47.947.5
Auto16.8
Teleop23.4
End6.8
red by 8.1
39.00.7
38.037.4
Auto11.0
Teleop21.6
End6.4
Second
43.00.5
42.441.9
Auto13.3
Teleop25.3
End4.3
red by 8.8
1574
#27
34.20.7
34.433.7
Auto13.4
Teleop14.6
End6.2
Third
4828
#49
27.50.5
27.827.3
Auto10.1
Teleop15.2
End2.2
red by 14.4
1700
#63
13.10.7
12.812.1
Auto4.9
Teleop6.5
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
98%Melody oddsEarned85%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
80%Ensemble oddsEarned90%Ensemble oddsEarned