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Red85
452243.0
190220.4
833810.5
Blue84
11841.0
940012.5
107632.7
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions75103501508584

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.00.6
41.942.5
Auto13.3
Teleop25.3
End4.3
red by 2.0
118
#17
41.00.7
43.142.3
Auto14.0
Teleop21.2
End5.8
Second
1902
#66
20.40.6
20.521.1
Auto4.0
Teleop14.9
End1.6
blue by 12.3
1076
#32
32.70.7
33.733.0
Auto10.1
Teleop19.3
End3.4
Third
8338
#58
10.50.6
9.19.6
Auto5.5
Teleop3.6
End1.3
blue by 2.0
9400
#51
12.50.7
13.112.4
Auto5.6
Teleop6.9
End-0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
44%Melody oddsEarned87%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
25%Ensemble oddsMissed59%Ensemble oddsEarned