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Red116
157434.2
593435.0
521630.0
Blue77
171033.8
281142.4
110827.4
20%Model gave it80%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions101125608014016018020011677

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5934
#15
35.01.4
32.333.7
Auto12.9
Teleop19.6
End2.5
blue by 7.5
42.42.2
44.342.0
Auto13.6
Teleop22.1
End6.7
Second
1574
#27
34.21.4
33.735.1
Auto13.4
Teleop14.6
End6.2
red by 0.5
1710
#16
33.82.2
36.033.8
Auto12.7
Teleop17.7
End3.4
Third
5216
#12
30.01.4
28.429.9
Auto8.1
Teleop19.4
End2.4
red by 2.6
1108
#22
27.42.2
30.228.0
Auto12.0
Teleop12.9
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
92%Melody oddsEarned98%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
69%Ensemble oddsMissed93%Ensemble oddsMissed