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Red50
715733.3
64923.9
833810.5
Blue75
413515.6
452243.0
965916.5
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7371204060801001201405075

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7157
#39
33.31.1
30.429.3
Auto12.3
Teleop18.8
End2.3
blue by 9.7
43.00.2
34.634.8
Auto13.3
Teleop25.3
End4.3
Second
649
#40
23.91.1
25.424.3
Auto8.3
Teleop15.1
End0.5
red by 7.4
9659
#33
16.50.2
13.413.6
Auto5.7
Teleop9.4
End1.5
Third
8338
#58
10.51.1
10.09.0
Auto5.5
Teleop3.6
End1.3
blue by 5.1
4135
#71
15.60.2
16.516.7
Auto3.9
Teleop8.2
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
64%Melody oddsMissed83%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
33%Ensemble oddsMissed30%Ensemble oddsEarned