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Red70
98014.0
402839.0
745130.4
Blue87
110827.4
948021.7
58141.8
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions75992040601201401607087

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.00.1
33.933.8
Auto11.0
Teleop21.6
End6.4
blue by 2.8
581
#11
41.80.1
40.039.9
Auto14.6
Teleop21.7
End5.4
Second
7451
#42
30.40.1
27.827.7
Auto10.5
Teleop18.7
End1.2
red by 3.0
1108
#22
27.40.1
29.129.0
Auto12.0
Teleop12.9
End2.5
Third
980
#65
14.00.1
9.29.1
Auto4.3
Teleop7.9
End1.9
blue by 7.6
9480
#53
21.70.1
17.417.3
Auto8.6
Teleop10.6
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
55%Melody oddsMissed95%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
39%Ensemble oddsMissed51%Ensemble oddsEarned