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Red59
943226.7
153832.1
940012.5
Blue114
593435.0
32118.3
13141.4
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7889406010012014059114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1538
#43
32.10.9
31.730.8
Auto11.6
Teleop18.5
End2.0
blue by 9.4
131
#8
41.42.2
33.735.9
Auto9.3
Teleop25.1
End7.0
Second
9432
#62
26.70.9
26.125.3
Auto10.4
Teleop16.3
End-0.1
blue by 8.3
5934
#15
35.02.2
28.530.7
Auto12.9
Teleop19.6
End2.5
Third
9400
#51
12.50.9
14.313.4
Auto5.6
Teleop6.9
End-0.0
blue by 5.8
321
#45
18.32.2
16.919.1
Auto8.2
Teleop9.8
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
90%Melody oddsMissed64%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
24%Ensemble oddsMissed83%Ensemble oddsEarned