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Red81
205442.9
84026.5
553421.9
Blue64
38639.2
5128.8
808528.8
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions107642040801001201401608164

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.90.7
41.540.8
Auto11.1
Teleop25.6
End6.2
red by 14.1
8085
#48
28.80.1
28.228.3
Auto8.8
Teleop14.5
End5.5
Second
840
#47
26.50.7
26.726.0
Auto9.6
Teleop15.3
End1.6
blue by 2.3
51
#46
28.80.1
23.023.1
Auto10.6
Teleop15.6
End2.6
Third
5534
#57
21.90.7
23.522.8
Auto8.5
Teleop11.0
End2.4
red by 12.7
3863
#74
9.20.1
11.511.6
Auto4.3
Teleop3.2
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
94%Melody oddsEarned60%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
65%Ensemble oddsMissed44%Ensemble oddsMissed