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Red126
58141.8
913413.5
402839.0
Blue64
710221.1
691125.1
940510.9
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10355020408012014012664

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
581
#11
41.81.4
40.141.5
Auto14.6
Teleop21.7
End5.4
red by 16.7
6911
#30
25.10.6
24.525.0
Auto5.0
Teleop17.9
End2.2
Second
39.01.4
37.438.8
Auto11.0
Teleop21.6
End6.4
red by 17.9
7102
#56
21.10.6
21.121.7
Auto7.6
Teleop11.0
End2.5
Third
9134
#64
13.51.4
9.911.3
Auto7.0
Teleop5.2
End1.3
red by 2.6
9405
#72
10.90.6
10.110.7
Auto4.9
Teleop5.7
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
83%Melody oddsEarned19%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
79%Ensemble oddsEarned7%Ensemble oddsMissed