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Red89
150634.4
901524.8
459318.6
Blue61
38639.2
91035.8
962418.1
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions84702040601001208961

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1506
#20
34.41.0
33.134.1
Auto9.8
Teleop18.5
End6.1
blue by 1.4
910
#29
35.80.3
37.337.0
Auto11.9
Teleop20.3
End3.5
Second
9015
#38
24.81.0
23.824.8
Auto10.0
Teleop12.9
End1.9
red by 6.6
9624
#37
18.10.3
18.418.1
Auto7.7
Teleop7.8
End2.7
Third
4593
#61
18.61.0
17.618.6
Auto9.3
Teleop6.5
End2.8
red by 9.4
3863
#74
9.20.3
9.29.0
Auto4.3
Teleop3.2
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
46%Melody oddsEarned34%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
44%Ensemble oddsEarned16%Ensemble oddsEarned