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Red105
10342.0
14835.3
459318.6
Blue93
2744.1
948021.7
414612.3
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1077520406012014016018010593

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
103
#25
42.00.7
37.538.2
Auto13.4
Teleop26.3
End2.3
blue by 2.1
27
#28
44.11.2
45.046.2
Auto11.7
Teleop29.1
End3.3
Second
148
#24
35.30.7
38.238.9
Auto10.8
Teleop20.6
End3.9
red by 13.6
9480
#53
21.71.2
17.318.5
Auto8.6
Teleop10.6
End2.4
Third
4593
#61
18.60.7
17.017.7
Auto9.3
Teleop6.5
End2.8
red by 6.3
4146
#75
12.31.2
9.110.2
Auto3.1
Teleop7.7
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
96%Melody oddsEarned84%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
60%Ensemble oddsMissed25%Ensemble oddsMissed