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Red72
170013.1
440325.8
943226.7
Blue90
110827.4
69440.3
965916.5
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7289204060801001201407290

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9432
#62
26.70.0
25.325.3
Auto10.4
Teleop16.3
End-0.1
blue by 13.6
694
#14
40.30.6
35.936.6
Auto9.9
Teleop24.8
End5.5
Second
4403
#52
25.80.0
26.626.6
Auto7.0
Teleop16.3
End2.4
blue by 1.6
1108
#22
27.40.6
29.029.6
Auto12.0
Teleop12.9
End2.5
Third
1700
#63
13.10.0
15.315.3
Auto4.9
Teleop6.5
End1.7
blue by 3.4
9659
#33
16.50.6
13.614.3
Auto5.7
Teleop9.4
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
84%Melody oddsEarned89%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
30%Ensemble oddsMissed35%Ensemble oddsEarned