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Red89
950118.3
169054.5
492027.1
Blue116
205442.9
157434.2
13141.4
19%Model gave it81%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9812640608014016018020089116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
54.50.5
49.148.6
Auto17.1
Teleop32.0
End5.3
red by 11.6
42.90.0
40.840.8
Auto11.1
Teleop25.6
End6.2
Second
4920
#69
27.10.5
26.325.7
Auto10.4
Teleop15.1
End1.6
blue by 14.3
131
#8
41.40.0
35.936.0
Auto9.3
Teleop25.1
End7.0
Third
9501
#50
18.30.5
16.415.9
Auto5.1
Teleop11.4
End1.8
blue by 16.0
1574
#27
34.20.0
33.733.8
Auto13.4
Teleop14.6
End6.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
87%Melody oddsEarned97%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
41%Ensemble oddsMissed95%Ensemble oddsEarned