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Red63
38639.2
553421.9
750124.6
Blue75
281142.4
190220.4
940510.9
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions627820401001206375

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7501
#54
24.60.3
24.024.3
Auto11.5
Teleop11.6
End1.5
blue by 17.8
42.40.4
40.240.6
Auto13.6
Teleop22.1
End6.7
Second
5534
#57
21.90.3
22.823.1
Auto8.5
Teleop11.0
End2.4
red by 1.5
1902
#66
20.40.4
19.820.2
Auto4.0
Teleop14.9
End1.6
Third
3863
#74
9.20.3
11.611.9
Auto4.3
Teleop3.2
End1.7
blue by 1.7
9405
#72
10.90.5
8.99.3
Auto4.9
Teleop5.7
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
44%Melody oddsMissed66%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
23%Ensemble oddsMissed47%Ensemble oddsMissed