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Red50
913413.5
331438.3
940012.5
Blue96
171033.8
948021.7
964226.8
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions677940601001205096

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3314
#18
38.31.1
35.934.8
Auto14.0
Teleop19.3
End4.9
red by 4.5
1710
#16
33.81.1
29.730.8
Auto12.7
Teleop17.7
End3.4
Second
9134
#64
13.51.1
12.711.6
Auto7.0
Teleop5.2
End1.3
blue by 13.4
9642
#34
26.81.1
22.023.1
Auto10.5
Teleop14.8
End1.5
Third
9400
#51
12.51.1
13.412.3
Auto5.6
Teleop6.9
End-0.0
blue by 9.2
9480
#53
21.71.1
18.519.5
Auto8.6
Teleop10.6
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
72%Melody oddsMissed63%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
28%Ensemble oddsMissed40%Ensemble oddsEarned