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Red85
871711.3
286930.5
710221.1
Blue43
459318.6
170013.1
942710.8
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions70452060801001201408543

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2869
#19
30.51.5
23.525.0
Auto9.7
Teleop19.0
End1.8
red by 11.9
4593
#61
18.60.1
17.717.6
Auto9.3
Teleop6.5
End2.8
Second
7102
#56
21.11.5
23.024.4
Auto7.6
Teleop11.0
End2.5
red by 8.0
1700
#63
13.10.1
15.315.2
Auto4.9
Teleop6.5
End1.7
Third
8717
#67
11.31.7
14.215.9
Auto5.7
Teleop3.3
End2.3
red by 0.5
9427
#60
10.80.1
11.010.9
Auto4.2
Teleop4.5
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
52%Melody oddsEarned14%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
18%Ensemble oddsMissed23%Ensemble oddsMissed